Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.649638 3.885187 4.138353 4.432532 4.767371 5.139604 5.588979
2025-03-09 3.254339 3.557069 3.899276 4.320367 4.832843 5.448021 6.261916
2025-03-16 2.909658 3.239896 3.626960 4.124148 4.762016 5.578492 6.751576
2025-03-23 2.713549 3.075188 3.514129 4.102727 4.900751 5.997484 7.736250
2025-03-30 2.531729 2.910327 3.383250 4.041050 4.977723 6.353880 8.765863
2025-04-06 2.360412 2.744036 3.234359 3.937155 4.980578 6.608091 9.752486
2025-04-13 2.194778 2.572699 3.064058 3.784634 4.890094 6.701041 10.513933
2025-04-20 2.115984 2.508798 3.031817 3.824227 5.099949 7.354462 12.846441
2025-04-27 2.050277 2.457149 3.011310 3.878110 5.343769 8.155635 16.354734
2025-05-04 2.005978 2.431009 3.023853 3.983635 5.698600 9.331908 23.054685
2025-05-11 1.946195 2.378993 2.994028 4.017633 5.932953 10.369618 32.775061
2025-05-18 1.873923 2.304760 2.925254 3.979045 6.020785 11.102800 45.654353
2025-05-25 1.779640 2.199649 2.811143 3.867075 5.974014 11.564817 65.218681
2025-06-01 1.710668 2.127750 2.743478 3.830001 6.084928 12.638022 148.450041
2025-06-08 1.629279 2.033633 2.635235 3.709969 5.992062 13.006734 401.596419
2025-06-15 1.582706 1.988620 2.601539 3.722763 6.213933 14.838942 NaN
2025-06-22 1.531685 1.934275 2.549136 3.694995 6.335935 16.494211 NaN
2025-06-29 1.476580 1.871145 2.478480 3.625031 6.337540 17.649719 NaN
2025-07-06 1.416599 1.798113 2.387573 3.507366 6.190860 17.859698 NaN
2025-07-13 1.390636 1.775899 2.379438 3.553009 6.506741 21.787436 NaN
2025-07-20 1.368064 1.757692 2.376627 3.609253 6.878389 27.894928 NaN
2025-07-27 1.353716 1.751462 2.393612 3.709322 7.433794 41.041227 NaN
2025-08-03 1.330132 1.729433 2.381537 3.745361 7.801061 59.197395 NaN